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Marnus van Heerden                                                                                                                                             The South African Insurance Industry Survey 2016 | 31

Accountant,                          Psychology and behavioural
Financial Services
Tel: +27 72 789 8599                 economics of insurance
Email: marnus.vanheerden@kpmg.co.za
                                     For many years, softer sciences such as    The reality of human nature and behaviour, often thought to be fully
                                     psychology and behavioural economics       understood, keeps on surprising us as it is unravelled by the world’s
                                     have been the ugly stepchildren of the     brightest minds. Is the South African insurance industry taking full
                                     factors taken into account in decision-    advantage of the opportunities that these revelations present?
                                     making. This has changed dramatically
                                     in recent years with Daniel Kahneman       Psychology - understanding the African market based on
                                     (a Nobel Prize winner) and Dan Ariely      Maslow’s hierarchy of needs
                                     revolutionising the economics world        South Africa accounted for US$49.16 billion of the US$68.97 billion
                                     with their studies into human bias.1       of Africa’s gross written insurance premium (GWP) in 2014. This is
                                     Notable Harvard law professors have        71.9 percent of the African insurance industry. South Africa’s gross
                                     backed their studies, which has resulted   domestic product (GDP) was US$352.8 billion in 2015. The GDP for
                                     in the White House and the World Bank      Africa was US$2 435 billion in 2015. SA's GDP represents 14 percent
                                     employing behavioural economists           of Africa’s GDP. Does it make sense that a country with 14 percent of
                                     to help them make better decisions.        Africa’s GDP attains 74 percent of GWP?
                                     This has brought about policies such
                                     as Obamacare, proving that ignoring        GDP                  GWP
                                     the irrationalities of the consumer
                                     would be simply irrational. How could           South Africa	        South Africa	
                                     an understanding of psychology and              Rest of Africa       Rest of Africa
                                     behavioural economics help us to
                                     comprehend the insurance industry?

                                     1 Thinking Fast and slow- Daniel Kahneman
                                        Predictably irrational – Dan Ariely
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